A recent study published in the South African Journal of Science by Bradshaw et al provides interesting reflections on the number of reported COVID-19 deaths in the four waves of coronavirus infections compared against the total number of excess “natural” deaths during the same periods. While in one province, Western Cape, the ratio between reported COVID-19 deaths and the excess natural deaths was 69% in some other provinces, Mpumalanga and Limpopo respectively, the ratios were as low as 10 and 13%. From this it appears that quality of the provincial data systems varies markedly. The data also indicates that the quality of official COVID-19 reporting may be worsening over time. The…
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The Difficult Dilemma of COVID-19 in our 2020 World!
I write this article as a 72-year old man with hypertension well-controlled on antihypertensive medication and as such an individual who falls into the group of individuals at higher risk for a more complicated course of COVID-19 should I acquire that infection. I am also a doctor and spent my professional life as both a practicing specialist clinician and a manager of health services. The reason for my stating this at the outset will become apparent to the reader. In South Africa the surge of COVID-19 cases and COVID-19 associated deaths overall first peaked around July of this year, 2020, and subsequently declined. Prior to the surge the country went…